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Chinese Space Station To Hit Earth: Where Will It Fall?

10 March 2018

In fact, according to the Aerospace Corporation, despite about 5,900 tons of space debris raining down over Earth in the past half century, there only has been one reported person struck with these scraps.

China's first space station named Tiangong-1 meaning Heavenly Palace went out of control on March 16 of 2016, and the nation revealed in 2017 that regaining control resulted in failure.

It's basically dead in space in a steadily decaying orbit, which means that China can't instruct the 34-foot station to return to Earth and burn up over an unpopulated area of the Pacific Ocean.

The Guardian reports in a previous report that several space crafts or space stations have come crashing through the atmosphere to Earth without killing or injuring anyone in the past.

Unless China reveals more about what exactly is involved with the construction and descent of the Chinese space station, there's now no telling what exactly will happen when it makes contact with Earth.

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In recent days Aerospace, a USA research organisation that advises government and private enterprise on space flight, also updated its re-entry window.

With a current orbit ranging from 43 degrees north to 43 degrees south, there's a wide range in which it could impact. The chances of re-entry are slightly higher in northern China, the Middle East, central Italy, northern Spain and the northern states of the US, New Zealand, Tasmania, parts of South America and southern Africa.

It was now falling at about 6km a week, compared to 1.5km in October.

'It is only in the final week or so that we are going to be able to start speaking about it with more confidence, ' said Dr McDowell.

"I would guess that a few pieces will survive re-entry". Chinese officials aren't yet sure where exactly we'll see the station make contact with Earth.

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Website Satflare, which provides online 3D tracking of more than 15,000 satellites, has calculated what it thinks are the chances of the space station entering the atmosphere during the next three months.

Aerospace in a statement said that there was "a chance that a small amount of debris" from the module will survive re-entry and hit the Earth. "Only one person has ever been recorded as being hit by a piece of space debris and, fortunately, she was not injured".

"In the history of spaceflight no known person has ever been harmed by reentering space debris". NASA says that when it was active Tiangong-1 largely served as a demonstration of the "vital docking technology required for a future space station".

McDowell tweeted on Wednesday, March 7 that "confusion remains widespread" in predicting Tiangong-1's reentry location, and date and time.

The huge space station lost communication with the control center and the now uncontrolled fall to the Ground.

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Chinese Space Station To Hit Earth: Where Will It Fall?