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US Atlantic hurricane season could be 'extremely active'

12 August 2017

An estimated $28.3 trillion worth of homes, businesses and infrastructure in the 18 Atlantic coastal states are vulnerable to hurricane strikes.

The updated outlook is based on the current and evolving atmospheric and oceanic conditions, the most recent model predictions, and pre-and early-season storm activity. Averaging all major tropical season forecasts yields 15 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. The agency's expected number of five to nine hurricanes overall is unchanged. Typically, we are awaiting our third named storm at this point of the season with the sixth named storm forming a month down the road in early September. The 2017 hurricane season officially began June 1 and ends November 30. The numbers announced on Wednesday include the season activity to-date.

The waters are 'much warmer than average, about one to two degrees Fahrenheit warmer than average, and there is high confidence that this warmth will persist, ' said Gerry Bell, NOAA's lead hurricane season forecaster, during a conference call with reporters.

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Forecasters now say there is a 60 percent chance of an above-normal season.

Also, there is significantly less likelihood that the weather phenomenon known as El Nino will form.

"At this time, the more likely scenario is for the tropical system to stay offshore", AccuWeather meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said in a report.

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Forecasters said hurricane-force winds extended up to 35 miles from the center of the storm and tropical storm-force winds extended up to 150 miles. Schools are frequently used as storm shelters in Mexico.

Franklin strengthened into the first hurricane of the Atlantic season Wednesday as it neared Mexico's central Gulf coast, heading for an overnight landfall that would be its second on Mexican territory in three days.

A disturbance about 300 miles east of the Turks and Caicos Islands could develop into a tropical depression over the weekend, the National Hurricane Center said Friday night (Aug. 11).

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US Atlantic hurricane season could be 'extremely active'